Saturday, March 9, 2013

Data signals end to Japan's recession

Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is aggressively pushing the Bank of Japan to ease monetary policy in a bid to boost growth.


Japan's economy performed better in the fourth quarter than previously thought, according to revised government data released Friday that could add fuel to the government's stimulus efforts.

The data showed that Japan's economy grew at an annual rate of 0.2% in the final three months of 2012 -- much better than the negative 0.4% rate initially reported by Japan's Cabinet Office.

The upward revision was not exactly a surprise, as other economic indicators have pointed to stronger growth in recent weeks.

But the report could provide a boost to consumer sentiment. Japan's economy had been in a shallow recession, and the positive growth should bolster hopes that the country's economic outlook is brightening.

The report also provides some political cover for Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, who is pursuing an aggressive set of policy changes in a bid to boost growth.

Abe has argued forcefully that the central bank is not moving quickly enough to stimulate Japan's flagging economy. He favors aggressive monetary easing, and made that the centerpiece of his election campaign.

The idea is that further easing, combined with fiscal stimulus, could end years of deflation and coax the world's third largest economy out of recession.

Related story: High hopes for Japan's central banker

The strategy got a boost last week as Abe nominated Haruhiko Kuroda to succeed Masaaki Shirakawa as Japan's top central banker.

Kuroda has deep ties within the international finance community. He has been a vocal critic of the central bank's timidity, and his policy prescriptions largely mirror those of Abe.

Even without much concrete action thus far by the central bank, markets have responded strongly in the hope that words will be turned into deeds under the new leadership.

The yen has weakened significantly, falling more than 20% against the U.S. dollar since the beginning of October. The Nikkei has been on a tear, adding more than 40% since the middle of November. To top of page

First Published: March 7, 2013: 11:42 PM ET


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